think it will have caused some isolated regional spikes the overall picture is harder to decipher. Only time and the excess data work the FT are doing will tell.
I think there'll be a big gap between "close to normality" and actual normality. I'm not expecting bars and restaurants to open up normally until October at the earliest, and I reckon football will come after that.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/ar...nts-sees-40-staff-test-positive-Covid-19.html https://www.thewestonmercury.co.uk/...ergency-department-to-shut-at-night-1-6300931 Since June 2017 long before Covid that hospital has worked their A&E on part time hours because it shuts at night until the next morning. 40% of staff have also caught it. So it's shut on a temporary basis because of a staff shortage and because it's not a major 24/7 A&E department. Let's not worry about a one off hospital that's used to working under extreme limits.
Notice the uptick in all but one of the excess deaths graph. Some of this will be caused by the bank holiday weekend - with deaths reported into the next week. We will know more on Tuesday next week whether that is a temporary blip or a trend. Edited (with apologies to Scotland) - their deaths continued to fall according to those figures.