Royal Ascot

He was very impressive in my opinion

 

Charles Darwin has evolved into a good horse. Comfortable winner

 

Not for me these short price horses at big festivals.

We all saw what happened at Cheltenham and Aintree with Jonbon, Constitution Hill, Ballyburn, Gallopin, Majborough, Teauphoo etc.

Good luck to those playing the favs, but it's not my bag.

I've had 2 bets today:

5.00 - Tribal Nation - 28s
6.10 - Northern Express - 20s

Good luck all.

 

I like your style an had a flutter dint get the 7 / 4 that was fooookin massive , well done an thanks for the tip.

 

Well the earlier Illinois tip came in. He was never going to catch the favourite.

 

I love the challenge of finding a big price horse, last race Myal for me.

 

I love the challenge of finding a big price horse, last race

 

My tactic is to back a horse I think will win but not at stupidly short prices. Odds on favourites lose c. 50% of the time. Get some decent odds and if there's enough 'value' there put some money on the place. Betfair is the platform to do that. Traditional each-way betting doesn't allow you to manipulate your bet on the place market. That's my take anyway...

 

It's interesting. I think that whatever price range you play within is not all that relevant. What is required is to find likely winners whose odds are longer than they should be. So if the average price of your winners is 2/1 you need to have a strike rate of 33% or greater. If your average winner price is 20/1, your strike rate needs to be roughly 5% or greater. What I would say is that if you play nearer the 2/1 range than the 20/1 range, your strike rate is likely to be greater and a losing run is less likely to wipe you out. I also think it's more fun if you can be successful 33% of the time rather than only 5%. But either end will do if your strike rate beats that implied by your average winner price. I heard one pundit describe this as being "content to score in singles rather than attempting to hit every ball to the boundary!"

 

I agree with you about finding the effective value over the long term. I don't agree with you often but I do here. If there is ever a nailed on horse called 'Starmer' I'd lay it on principle.

 

Star Sports will give you 16/1 for Boris Johnson to be next prime minister. Thank me later!

 

Lay it

 

Anyway, more on point, will we see a Super Boost for Shadow Of Light tomorrow? He is a very strong selection for me.