What happens if they switch parties? Would they retain their seat and it now be considered a labour seat? Would that see Boris Johnson ousted?
Yes they retain their seat as in the Bury south tory mp crossing the floor. To labour. They cannot resign it seems.
If enough did it so that the Tories didn't have a majority would that mean that bozo would no longer be pm? As in it wouldn't be up to his party anymore to elect him?
He'd operate on a minority government but would never ever get any policy votes through. A bit like the standstill in northern Ireland...of sorts
Potentially more interesting is what would the 148 do if Sir Keir called a parliamentary vote of no confidence in Borisconi? They'd look a bit silly if they supported Johnson in that. There again, even their abstaining could potentially down him.
Not sure. But nez has a good point. The government wouldn't get anything through. So that would point to a call for a general election. Bear in mind I'm guessing. not stating a fact.
But even so unless they got enough parties to join them in policy voting. It would be pointless carrying on. And call an election . Imo.
This is Boris Johnson. His failure to accept anything against him ever, leads me to believe he'd try for the next 2 years just to be so pig headed about it.
That happened in 2019 when they removed the whip from the 20 odd Tory MPs who wouldn’t back the Brexit ‘deal’ and some switched parties. It meant there had to (not ‘had to’ as in by law but just realistically) be an election as he couldn’t do anything with a minority.
But even as Independsnts they can continue to vote with the Tories. The vote was about no confidence in their leader not in the Government as a whole. We're stuck with him I'm afraid.
Sad but true. I’ve seen a couple of quotes from ‘rebels’ who said they will continue to support policy irrespective of the outcome. He’s going nowhere until December 2024. By then goodness knows where we’ll be.
Be very surprised it the conservatives don’t pressure him out now, especially if the by election results are conclusive.
Agree. The Tories are pragmatists if nothing else. Many still see Boris has having an uncanny knack of winning. If that goes and I think it will in the by elections, I think he's doomed. Apparently the 1922 committee can change its own rules to have a second ballet and threatened the maybot with this to force her resignation.
I think if we were much closer to a potential election then that would happen for sure. His team will point to the “ruling party always lose mid term by-elections” theory and buy him as much time as possible. This will all have been long forgotten by then.
He would have lost his majority, Labour could table a vote of no confidence and he'd be consigned to the dustbin of history. If the 148 that voted against him didn't resign but abstained on a no confidence vote he'd still be history but I cant see either happening. They opposed him because they are afraid of losing their seats. Either scenario scenario would leave them out of Westminster or out of the Tory party...... Edit, I think a general election is very likely in the next 12 months.