Hard to see the impact of BLM, VE celebrations, busy beaches, shops opening, pubs opening, partial opening of Schools, eat out to help out or indeed mandatory masks making any impact. Is this because the restrictions we had in place were so good or because interventions have had little impact? Either way it has to be good news doesn't it? Hopefully more gradually easing will follow the return to school and we don't see things get worse.
According to form a second wave to come in Autumn how bad is anyone’s guess . Numpty Brains in number ten keeps harping to this world beating test and trace we supposed to have had in May that’s still nowhere near ready . It seems they’ve been more intent in giving their mates the contracts than the actual importance of what works . But then we gerrin Brexit done so!
Just seen on Calendar that rates are rising in Leeds, blamed on raves and the ignoring of restrictions amongst younger people. In that city the rises in cases surpasses that of Portugal-whom Boris the Clown is looking at putting back on the self isolation list. Leeds currently is showing 3% infection rate So it remains to be seen if there will be a second wave, but if Boris does re-impose travel restrictions on Portugal I would expect him to do the same with Leeds Anyone who works there but lives say in Barnsley must self isolate for 14 days when getting home (just to demonstrate data based consistency you understand!)
Yeah, there's been quite a few raves around here. I've not seen or heard any myself but I've heard police helicopters overhead and people discussing it on the local groups. There's been a few with over 1000 people attending in Kirkstall but now they've started handing out 10k fines to the organisers and £100 to attendees that might make them think twice.
I think October half term is the big one. They worry about kids being super spreaders so if they can survive 5-6 weeks of no school problems and hospital admissions continuing to head towards zero then I think more of a fuss will be rightly kicked up if they keep bossing us.
i personally think it will come and go with our regular flu season - with a few spats here and there in between. Time will tell.
The rate of increase in cases (from ~5-600/day to ~1400/day yesterday) implies that R has been above 1 since early July. The victims are generally younger, which is good in terms of outlook and hospitalisation, but apparently the number of people in hospital has started to creep back up.
https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/healthcare Not long since it was 800+ in hospital and 80+ on a ventilator so it is looking ok at the moment.
