Follow the science

Discussion in 'Bulletin Board' started by Farnham_Red, May 11, 2020.

  1. Farnham_Red

    Farnham_Red Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    Well hard to know what science that is when our Prime Minister publishes an equation like this
    [​IMG]

    The best you can say about it is its total bullsh1t

    Anyone any idea at all what he was trying to say with this and who approved its use. If it was Whitty we really are doomed
     
    Farnham_Red, May 11, 2020
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  2. pon

    pontyender Well-Known Member

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    pontyender, May 11, 2020
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  3. Tyk

    Tyketical Masterstroke Well-Known Member

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    Except apparently they could only estimate the R within an 80% margin of error yesterday - 0.5 to 0.9 ffs. Germany announce it to 2 decimal places!!
     
    Tyketical Masterstroke, May 11, 2020
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  4. Stephen Dawson

    Stephen Dawson Well-Known Member

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    The covert alert levels are 1-5 so how can the rate of infection + number of infections be between 1 and 5?
     
    Stephen Dawson, May 11, 2020
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  5. Farnham_Red

    Farnham_Red Administrator Staff Member Admin

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    Farnham_Red, May 11, 2020
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  6. Austiniho

    Austiniho Well-Known Member

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    R is more guesswork and prediction than actual fact. Germany are therefore bulls-hitting their “facts” better...

    Epidemiologists stress that estimations of R – which rely on predicting human behaviour as much as the ability of a disease to transmit – are imperfect and are forever being revised.
     
    Austiniho, May 11, 2020
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  7. Fon

    Fonzie Well-Known Member

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    Its just absolutel ******** isn't it.

    R = 0.5/0.9 + 219,000.

    So R = 219,000.5

    Even though the scale of R is between 0-5.

    So our Covid Alert Level is currently 219,000.5 out of 5.
     
    Fonzie, May 11, 2020
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  8. Austiniho

    Austiniho Well-Known Member

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    Yep, a formula of formulas that are unclear, and at best some official’s judgement on how people are socially distancing.
     
    Austiniho, May 11, 2020
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  9. Stephen Dawson

    Stephen Dawson Well-Known Member

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    We'll be in lock down for years.
     
    Stephen Dawson, May 11, 2020
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  10. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

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    "But how will people trust this algorithm?" "stick an NHS logo in the top corner"
     
    BarnsleyReds, May 11, 2020
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  11. pompey_red

    pompey_red Well-Known Member

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    The Covid also levels appear to have been cribbed from Nando’s.
     
    pompey_red, May 11, 2020
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  12. BarnsleyReds

    BarnsleyReds Well-Known Member

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    There’s a lot to take the piss out of, but Nando’s didn’t invent a green to red scale
     
    BarnsleyReds, May 11, 2020
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  13. pompey_red

    pompey_red Well-Known Member

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    give over it’s just a joke because it looks similar.
     
    pompey_red, May 11, 2020
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  14. kestyke

    kestyke Well-Known Member

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    I'm guessing they will use a log scale for the infections either daily or weekly. So 0-10=1, 10-100=2, 100-1000=3, 1000-10000=4.
     
    kestyke, May 11, 2020
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