This is most likely wrong, indeed in my opinion is that it's wrong, but since it's my opinion Ill add the caveat of 'most likely'. Now I'm not going to downplay it's effects on society, the people who will die, and the effects on the economy, as they will be massive and world changing. No doubt about it. But as far as headline figures go you have to be really careful because these are taken from where TESTING FOR COVID HAS TAKEN PLACE. Testing of the populous in many countries is very limited or indeed non-existent. As a result there are many more people (by the millions) who are not being tested who will have some, little, or indeed no symptoms and never get recorded in the figures. When they tested those on the cruise liner, over 50% of all tests were with people who didn't have any symptoms. This is a blessing (as you dont get people being ill on mass, and a curse as obviously they can likely spread it without knowing. Since they aren't testing on a massive scale (which they should be) the scientists and mathematicians can probably run mathamatical models and work out a ball park figure of the likely numbers of infected from the number of deaths. I don't have much faith in the government, but I do in science and scientists and we have some really good people working on this. My only caveat is that they will issue advice for the majority of people and the highest at risk groups, but people have to read between the lines. For instance asking kids to stay at school benefits key workers and grandparents. However it didn't take into account parents with conditions too. So if you have asthma and require the flu jab you're at a slightly higher risk than the average person. Now if your kid is going to school and bringing it home, where does it leave you?
As long as you dont overwhelm the medical services too many at once and you cant treat all the serious cases and some more will die and some others will die from other illnesses who would have survived. This lock down has to work to keep the peak managable
Trust me, this is a crisis of epic proportions I agree that the media don’t help but this is, quite literally, deadly serious. The health service aren’t even close to being able to cope and this is only the start.
Not just other illnesses, but the accident mortality rate will be through the roof this year - especially injuries that were fully treatable in normal times. See also the birth rate around Christmas if we go into lockdown.
They have two successes in the lab, one as SD says is an HIV drug...the other is Cloroquine an anti malarial drug...there was also a cancer drug being reported but I can't just find it now.....this link is to the first two mentioned https://7news.com.au/lifestyle/heal...ers-within-reach-of-coronavirus-cure-c-746655
The health service aren’t even close to being able to cope and this is only the start.[/QUOTE] Loads of cruise ships doing nowt - requisition these as hospital ships, then staff them with Chinese medics who are now immune.
I agree with what you say, I didn’t make my point very clear it was just an example of the figures hence why I quoted 3.5% too. I was oversimplifying but 3.5% is a horrendous number as well.